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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Apr 29, 2020 02:00PM ET

4 Weeks 2 Days 9 Hours 55 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Apr 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.675
0.00 - 0.25
98.9%
0.25 - 0.50
1.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.25 - 0.00 2.1%
0.00 - 0.25 98.9% 97.9% 100.0%
0.25 - 0.50 1.1%
Updated: Mar 30, 2020 03:49AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 10, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.720
0.00 - 0.25
93.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
5.7%
0.25 - 0.50
1.0%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1%
-0.25 - 0.00 5.7% 7.6% 5.7%
0.00 - 0.25 93.3% 92.3% 94.3%
0.25 - 0.50 1.0%
Updated: Mar 30, 2020 03:49AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.735
0.00 - 0.25
93.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
5.7%
0.25 - 0.50
1.0%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1% 0.4%
-0.25 - 0.00 5.7% 7.6% 11.6%
0.00 - 0.25 93.3% 92.3% 88.0%
0.25 - 0.50 1.0%
Updated: Mar 30, 2020 03:49AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 16, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.740
0.00 - 0.25
93.3%
-0.25 - 0.00
5.7%
0.25 - 0.50
1.0%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1% 0.4%
-0.25 - 0.00 5.7% 7.6% 11.6%
0.00 - 0.25 93.3% 92.3% 88.0%
0.25 - 0.50 1.0%
Updated: Mar 30, 2020 03:49AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 05, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.770
0.00 - 0.25
91.3%
0.25 - 0.50
3.1%
-0.25 - 0.00
5.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1% 0.4%
-0.75 - -0.50
-0.25 - 0.00 5.5% 7.6% 11.3%
0.00 - 0.25 91.3% 92.3% 86.3%
0.25 - 0.50 3.1% 2.0%
0.50 - 0.75 0.0%
Updated: Mar 30, 2020 03:49AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 16, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 97.775
0.00 - 0.25
87.8%
0.25 - 0.50
6.8%
0.50 - 0.75
0.2%
-0.25 - 0.00
5.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.50 - -0.25 0.1% 0.3%
-0.75 - -0.50
-0.25 - 0.00 5.3% 6.7% 10.4%
0.00 - 0.25 87.8% 81.8% 80.1%
0.25 - 0.50 6.8% 11.4% 9.0%
0.50 - 0.75 0.2% 0.2%
0.75 - 1.00 0.0%
Updated: Mar 30, 2020 03:49AM EDT

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week
Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week By Investing.com - Mar 15, 2020 22

By Noreen Burke  Investing.com - After a week that saw global stock markets crash with the coronavirus outbreak ending a years-long bull run global central banks will be under more pressure to act in...

Fed Keeps Rates Steady as Sluggish Inflation Continues
Fed Keeps Rates Steady as Sluggish Inflation Continues By Investing.com - Jan 29, 2020 1

By Yasin Ebrahim Investing.com - The Federal Reserve held rates steady on Wednesday, as the sluggish pace of inflation coupled with a strong labor market did little to shift the central bank's...

Analysis

Brian Twomey
March 2020: DXY Versus Fed Fund Rates By Brian Twomey - Mar 19, 2020

What explains the wild ride meltdown and melt up for DXY and USD cross pairs EUR/AUD and EUR/NZD for example, is Fed Funds lacks a correlation to DXY and is negative overall.When the Fed dropped...

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