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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 18, 2020 02:00PM ET

4 Weeks 2 Days 16 Hours 7 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Mar 18, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.430
1.50 - 1.75
88.9%
1.25 - 1.50
11.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.25 - 1.50 11.1% 13.3% 11.1%
1.50 - 1.75 88.9% 86.7% 88.9%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST
Meeting Time: Apr 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.445
1.50 - 1.75
69.9%
1.25 - 1.50
27.8%
1.00 - 1.25
2.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
1.00 - 1.25 2.4% 2.6% 2.6%
1.25 - 1.50 27.8% 27.4% 29.4%
1.50 - 1.75 69.9% 70.0% 68.0%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST
Meeting Time: Jun 10, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.535
1.50 - 1.75
53.9%
1.25 - 1.50
37.4%
1.00 - 1.25
8.2%
0.75 - 1.00
0.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.75 - 1.00 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
1.00 - 1.25 8.2% 7.5% 8.0%
1.25 - 1.50 37.4% 36.0% 37.1%
1.50 - 1.75 53.9% 56.0% 54.4%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST
Meeting Time: Jul 29, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.560
1.50 - 1.75
43.2%
1.25 - 1.50
40.7%
1.00 - 1.25
14.0%
0.75 - 1.00
2.1%
0.50 - 0.75
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.50 - 0.75 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
0.75 - 1.00 2.1% 1.9% 2.0%
1.00 - 1.25 14.0% 13.2% 13.8%
1.25 - 1.50 40.7% 39.9% 40.6%
1.50 - 1.75 43.2% 44.8% 43.5%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST
Meeting Time: Sep 16, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.640
1.50 - 1.75
31.1%
1.25 - 1.50
41.4%
1.00 - 1.25
21.5%
0.75 - 1.00
5.4%
0.50 - 0.75
0.7%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.25 - 0.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.50 - 0.75 0.7% 0.6% 0.6%
0.75 - 1.00 5.4% 5.1% 5.3%
1.00 - 1.25 21.5% 20.7% 21.3%
1.25 - 1.50 41.4% 41.3% 41.4%
1.50 - 1.75 31.1% 32.3% 31.3%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST
Meeting Time: Nov 05, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.715
1.50 - 1.75
26.8%
1.25 - 1.50
39.9%
1.00 - 1.25
24.2%
0.75 - 1.00
7.6%
0.50 - 0.75
1.3%
0.25 - 0.50
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
0.00 - 0.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.25 - 0.50 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
0.50 - 0.75 1.3% 1.2% 1.3%
0.75 - 1.00 7.6% 7.2% 7.5%
1.00 - 1.25 24.2% 23.5% 24.1%
1.25 - 1.50 39.9% 40.1% 40.0%
1.50 - 1.75 26.8% 27.8% 27.0%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST
Meeting Time: Dec 16, 2020 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 98.760
1.50 - 1.75
17.9%
1.25 - 1.50
35.6%
1.00 - 1.25
29.4%
0.75 - 1.00
13.1%
0.50 - 0.75
3.4%
0.25 - 0.50
0.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
-0.25 - 0.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.00 - 0.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.25 - 0.50 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
0.50 - 0.75 3.4% 3.2% 3.3%
0.75 - 1.00 13.1% 12.6% 13.0%
1.00 - 1.25 29.4% 29.0% 29.3%
1.25 - 1.50 35.6% 36.0% 35.7%
1.50 - 1.75 17.9% 18.6% 18.1%
Updated: Feb 15, 2020 12:39AM EST

Fed Fund Rates

Latest Publications

Federal Reserve
Opening Remarks By Federal Reserve - Jul 12, 2016

Governor Daniel K. Tarullo At the Center for American Progress and Americans for Financial Reform Conference, Washington, D.C. July 12, 2016 Having been given the privilege of opening this conference,...

News

Fed Keeps Rates Steady as Sluggish Inflation Continues
Fed Keeps Rates Steady as Sluggish Inflation Continues By Investing.com - Jan 29, 2020 1

By Yasin Ebrahim Investing.com - The Federal Reserve held rates steady on Wednesday, as the sluggish pace of inflation coupled with a strong labor market did little to shift the central bank's...

Stocks - Europe to See Limited Gains Ahead of Fed Decision
Stocks - Europe to See Limited Gains Ahead of Fed Decision By Investing.com - Jan 29, 2020 1

By Peter Nurse Investing.com - European stock markets are set to edge higher at the open Wednesday, helped by the strong close on Wall Street overnight. However, gains are likely to be limited as...

Analysis

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